Re: The epic tales of Corn Pop’s young companion (POTUS46 complaint department)
Posted: Tue Sep 27, 2022 8:35 pm
Makes sense. Chain gangs were once common practice long after 1865.
Leaving false strength conventions behind
https://www.exodus-strength.com/forum/
Makes sense. Chain gangs were once common practice long after 1865.
5hout wrote: ↑Mon Jul 03, 2023 8:33 am https://natesilver.substack.com/p/polli ... -political
Basically, Nate Silver (no longer at 538) bemoans 538 turning into just another DNC operative firm (some editorializing by me). I thought it was interesting and should be cited for reference here as 2024 gears up.
This was a good read.5hout wrote: ↑Mon Jul 03, 2023 8:33 am https://natesilver.substack.com/p/polli ... -political
Basically, Nate Silver (no longer at 538) bemoans 538 turning into just another DNC operative firm (some editorializing by me). I thought it was interesting and should be cited for reference here as 2024 gears up.
This came across as a “good luck with your training” implying “gfys” in some ways.I’m now a free agent! Yesterday was the last day of my contract with Disney, which is in the midst of a series of layoffs including most of the FiveThirtyEight staff. Having worked for the company for nearly 10 years, I wish them well and thank them for the opportunity.
By the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
I can sympathize.DCR wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 8:05 amBy the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
Silver was very dishonest about the midterms IMO. He very much pushed the narrative that republicans were for sure going to have landslide wins despite his own model showing tossups. Then when so many democrats outran their poll numbers in competitive elections, he comes out and focuses on how the national polls overestimated dems by a very small margin.DCR wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 8:05 amBy the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
Did he?SSJBartSimpson wrote: ↑Mon Jul 10, 2023 12:11 amSilver was very dishonest about the midterms IMO. He very much pushed the narrative that republicans were for sure going to have landslide wins despite his own model showing tossups. Then when so many democrats outran their poll numbers in competitive elections, he comes out and focuses on how the national polls overestimated dems by a very small margin.DCR wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 8:05 amBy the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
SSJBartSimpson wrote: ↑Mon Jul 10, 2023 12:11 amSilver was very dishonest about the midterms IMO. He very much pushed the narrative that republicans were for sure going to have landslide wins despite his own model showing tossups. Then when so many democrats outran their poll numbers in competitive elections, he comes out and focuses on how the national polls overestimated dems by a very small margin.DCR wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 8:05 amBy the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
Yes, like I said his model showed a tossup environment. That Nathaniel Redd and Blue debates were just stupid.DCR wrote: ↑Mon Jul 10, 2023 4:17 amDid he?SSJBartSimpson wrote: ↑Mon Jul 10, 2023 12:11 amSilver was very dishonest about the midterms IMO. He very much pushed the narrative that republicans were for sure going to have landslide wins despite his own model showing tossups. Then when so many democrats outran their poll numbers in competitive elections, he comes out and focuses on how the national polls overestimated dems by a very small margin.DCR wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 8:05 amBy the 2020 election, he had about had it with people’s shit. By last year’s midterms, he was downright hostile, and justifiably so.mgil wrote: ↑Tue Jul 04, 2023 4:32 am I haven’t read Nate Silver’s work in a while, but I have read “Signal in the Noise” and will likely buy his next book. His narrative voice in his article is different than I remember. Basically, a bit less optimistic and a bit more curmudgeonly. I can appreciate that.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fi ... -forecast/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... ion-night/
I don't know, but I look forward to seeing people explain how this is actually perfectly normal and nothing to see here and it we shouldn't find anything weird about it.BostonRugger wrote: ↑Thu Aug 17, 2023 9:17 am Exodus Brain Trust, how normal is it for Pres or VP to use pseudonyms in .gov emails? A quick google search returned one 2016 story on Obama doing this in comms to Clinton and also some references to Deep Throat.
https://nypost.com/2023/08/17/comer-dem ... le-vp/amp/
I don’t know if it’s normal.5hout wrote: ↑Thu Aug 17, 2023 12:25 pmI don't know, but I look forward to seeing people explain how this is actually perfectly normal and nothing to see here and it we shouldn't find anything weird about it.BostonRugger wrote: ↑Thu Aug 17, 2023 9:17 am Exodus Brain Trust, how normal is it for Pres or VP to use pseudonyms in .gov emails? A quick google search returned one 2016 story on Obama doing this in comms to Clinton and also some references to Deep Throat.
https://nypost.com/2023/08/17/comer-dem ... le-vp/amp/
Remember when the laptop was Russian misinformation and 50+ people with security clearances signed on saying so and then it turned out that it was completely normal for former CIA operatives to run ops on the US media and we shouldn't care about this?
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000175 ... 9f9b330000
Strong vibes of that here.
Maybe. Email transmission is encrypted and if he followed any sort of precautions, the email itself would be encrypted too.
Posted for 4 reasons. First, it's depressingly hilarious. Second, standard "if an R had said this would be wall-to-wall news for weeks". Third, this is the confused rambling of someone that should be sitting in a rocking chair with a coffee (dash of scotch added after 5pm). Fourth, this kind of stuff seems to be getting more traction in mainstream media now. Is the tide going out on Pres. Malarkey?"I don't want to compare difficulties but we have a little sense, Jill and I, of what it's like to lose a home," he said. "Years ago now, 15 years ago, I was in Washington doing Meet the Press. It was a sunny Sunday," he continued.
"Lightning struck at home, on a little lake that's outside of our home—not a lake, a big pond,—and hit a wire that came up underneath our home into the heating ducts and air conditioning ducts," he added.
"To make a long story short, I almost lost my wife, my '67 Corvette, and my cat."
It's a classic #HeartBostonRugger wrote: ↑Tue Aug 22, 2023 8:07 am Not trying to take a dig at you, but, oblig:
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